Your total invested assets today across all accounts — 401(k), IRA, Roth IRA, brokerage. Don't include home equity or illiquid assets.
Your expected annual spending in retirement. This drives your FI number — the portfolio size needed to sustain your lifestyle indefinitely.
FI Number = Annual Spending ÷ Safe Withdrawal Rate
How much you add to your investment portfolio each year — 401(k) contributions, IRA contributions, and any taxable brokerage additions combined.
Expected annual portfolio return. The historical US stock market average is roughly 10% nominal, 7% real (inflation-adjusted). Using a real return avoids needing to adjust your spending figure for inflation separately.
Conservative: 5–6% · Moderate: 7% · Optimistic: 8–9%
The percentage of your portfolio you withdraw annually in retirement. The classic "4% rule" (Bengen, 1994) suggests 4% survives a 30-year retirement in most historical scenarios. Bengen later revised this upward to 4.7%.
For early retirees with a 35–40 year horizon, consider 3.5% for a more conservative estimate. Want to stress-test your full retirement plan? Try the Retirement Probability Calculator.
| Year | Starting Balance | Growth | Savings Added | End Balance | FI Target | Status |
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Want to stress-test your retirement plan beyond your FI number? Try the Retirement Probability Calculator
Tony Markey, MBA, founded DIY Retiree to provide free retirement planning tools and straight-talk guidance for pre-retirees managing their own financial futures.